Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.033048 2.212577 2.404030 2.623946 2.870257 3.138400 3.453433
2025-11-16 1.740085 1.980103 2.251213 2.582140 2.977906 3.439463 4.023531
2025-11-23 1.563383 1.836731 2.158611 2.569602 3.086196 3.721842 4.575523
2025-11-30 1.469835 1.773062 2.142755 2.633217 3.276872 4.107342 5.284519
2025-12-07 1.362852 1.678865 2.075009 2.617156 3.354414 4.344335 5.814055
2025-12-14 1.269368 1.591848 2.005829 2.587850 3.404453 4.540584 6.299886
2025-12-21 1.166690 1.484195 1.899692 2.496815 3.356490 4.588635 6.566112
2025-12-28 1.112690 1.436699 1.869280 2.505496 3.446936 4.840188 7.165540
2026-01-04 1.071525 1.403176 1.854482 2.533159 3.564576 5.139895 7.874234
2026-01-11 1.036053 1.374742 1.843966 2.564636 3.688262 5.457816 8.650526
2026-01-18 1.002230 1.346191 1.830725 2.589774 3.802254 5.768627 9.452682
2026-01-25 0.965472 1.311072 1.805266 2.593453 3.880694 6.025808 10.189581
2026-02-01 0.911371 1.248797 1.737312 2.528152 3.843963 6.087752 10.577542
2026-02-08 0.870364 1.203768 1.692704 2.496659 3.860728 6.244421 11.172926
2026-02-15 0.837827 1.169628 1.662538 2.485904 3.911063 6.465048 11.929272
2026-02-22 0.824892 1.164223 1.676030 2.547068 4.091108 6.943619 13.307913
2026-03-01 0.795355 1.131865 1.645309 2.531704 4.132137 7.159856 14.143284
2026-03-08 0.765097 1.096976 1.608671 2.503618 4.146988 7.325009 14.887149
2026-03-15 0.724243 1.043836 1.540209 2.416337 4.044471 7.242726 15.025856
2026-03-22 0.705753 1.025204 1.526857 2.424663 4.123694 7.542452 16.157568
2026-03-29 0.691979 1.013417 1.524017 2.451188 4.239766 7.932078 17.594147
2026-04-05 0.679635 1.003335 1.523375 2.481366 4.365138 8.355780 19.210036
2026-04-12 0.666784 0.991837 1.519678 2.505464 4.479890 8.768799 20.887295